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Statistics for Lawyers
Problem Set # 5– Due /04
Name_________________________________(Please Print)
1. Suppose that a study shows that the rate of childhood cancer mortality
increases from
about 1 per 1,000 to 4 per 1,000 when the mothers receive diagnostic x-rays
during
pregnancy. Show that the odds ratio for cancer mortality closely approximates
the
relative risk for cancer mortality on these data.
Ans.__________________________________________________________________________
2. Show that if Xe is the rate of disease in an “exposed” population (the
exposure being good
or bad) and Xu is the rate in the unexposed population, the odds ratio will
portray a larger
effect (good or bad) for the exposure than the relative risk.
Ans__________________________________________________________________________
3. (A) If a certain exposure reduces the rate of a disease, the odds ratio
for the disease in the
exposed vs. unexposed populations will lie in what range of possible values?
(B) Same
question if the exposure increases the rate of disease.
Ans.(A)_______________________________(B)_____________________________________
4. Same questions as in Question (3) above, except that we use the natural
logarithm of the
odds ratio.
Ans.(A)______________________________(B)______________________________________
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5. Referring to the retrospective study in the Bail/Bench Warrant case (1.5.2),
explain
briefly why the probability of a bench warrant currently issuing given previous
issuance
is not reasonably estimated by 54/77 = 0.701.
Ans._________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________
6. Referring to the same retrospective study, use the table below to show
that the
retrospective odds ratio is the same as the prospective odds ratio. (This
is quite simple, so
don’t get all wound up.)
|
BW Prev. Issued
|
No BW Prev. Issued
|
Total
|
BW Currently Issued
|
a
|
b
|
a+b
|
No BW Curr. Issued
|
c
|
d
|
c+d
|
Total
|
a+c
|
b+d
|
a+b+c+d
|
Ans.__________________________________________________________________________
End of Problem Set # 5